Just 13 years after the Millennium Summit of September 2000, the end of extreme poverty seems to be in sight. Some recent estimates say that the first Millennium Development Goal (MDG) was already reached in 2010 and that around 700 million people were lifted out of extreme poverty. In 2013, the World Bank declared a new goal, to end extreme poverty by 2030. The last two decades have witnessed unprecedented success, but will 2030 really mark the end of extreme poverty? In a new working paper, we...