Random walks and cointegration relationships in international parity conditions between Germany and USA for the Bretton-Woods period

Franco Bevilacqua

#2006-016

Juselius (1995), MacDonald (2000), Juselius and MacDonald (2000) provided an explanation to some basic issues in international monetary economics concerning the validity of parity conditions. This paper instead restricts the analysis to the years between 1957 and 1969 and the countries under scrutiny are Germany and USA. Results can be easily compared with the Post Bretton Woods analysis by Juselius and MacDonald (2000). The main result of this paper is that important cointegration relationships found for the Post Bretton-Woods by Juselius and MacDonald (2000) essentially hold for the Bretton-Woods period as well, albeit the two periods were characterized by distinct exchange rate regimes and a different regulation in capital markets.

Keywords: ppp, uip, Fisher parity, Bretton-Woods regime.

JEL codes: E31, E43, F31, F32.

ISSN 1871-9872

  


UNU-MERIT