Alumni profile

Lina Salanauskaite

Thesis: Essays on the Distributional Impact of Public Policies, Ex-Ante and Ex-Post Evaluation, 2012

Promotor(s): Chris de Neubourg

Educational background
February 2005 MSc Social Protection Financing
Universiteit Maastricht, Maastricht, The Netherlands
February 2002 BA Economics Rollins College, Winter Park, FL, the US

Research Interest
Welfare impacts of policy changes, tested by using static microsimulation techniques
My primary idea of research is to focus on welfare impacts of personal income tax reform in Lithuania, by developing a static microsimulation model. The personal tax reform intends to reduce the current tax rate from the 33% to the 24% during the period of 2006 to 2008. Static microsimulation model would be an initial, but innovative step to test for the short'term policy change impacts on the people welfare.

Following Ann Harding, the recent definition of the microsimulation firstly applies to the modelling of the household income distribution and consumption, taking into account the taxes and transfers, but excluding the household behavioural aspects. In 2001, the EU has developed EUROMOD1, an integrated European tax-benefit model, which is used either on the national or the overall European level to define the policy changes, to asses the revenue constraints and to evaluate the policy results. None of the microsimulation models are currently used to test the policy impacts in Lithuania. As James B. Davies indicates, the unpredictable nature and rapid development pace of the transition economies, data shortage, lack of the modelling resources are among the main reasons suppressing the development of the microsimulation modelling in most of the transition countries. Nevertheless, as the development is moving into the more orderly ways, the potential of the microsimulation modelling should be more explored and applied in the policy making processes.

Selected publications by Lina Salanauskaite