Current awareness http://www.merit.unu.edu/library/ UNU-MERIT 2009 The Economic Journal Volume 119, Issue 534, 2009. −−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−− Pages: 1−23 Rational Adversaries? Evidence from Randomised Trials in One Day Cricket* V. Bhaskar Pages: 24−46 Suspense: Dynamic Incentives in Sports Contests* William Chan, Pascal Courty, Li Hao Pages: 47−60 Deception Through Telling the Truth?! Experimental Evidence From Individuals and Teams* Matthias Sutter Pages: 61−90 Evolution, Teamwork and Collective Action: Production Targets in the Private Provision of Public Goods* David P. Myatt, Chris Wallace Pages: 91−122 Talking Ourselves to Efficiency: Coordination in Inter−Generational Minimum Effort Games with Private, Almost Common and Common Knowledge of Advice* Ananish Chaudhuri, Andrew Schotter, Barry Sopher Pages: 123−157 Monetary Policy, Endogenous Inattention and the Volatility Trade−off* William A. Branch, John Carlson, George W. Evans, Bruce McGough Pages: 158−171 Measuring Financial Asset Return and Volatility Spillovers, with Application to Global Equity Markets* Francis X. Diebold, Kamil Yilmaz Pages: 172−199 Estimating Trade Restrictiveness Indices* Hiau Looi Kee, Alessandro Nicita, Marcelo Olarreaga Pages: 200−228 On−the−Job Search in a Matching Model with Heterogeneous Jobs and Workers* Juan J. Dolado, Marcel Jansen, Juan F. Jimeno Pages: 229−251 Overconfidence in Forecasts of Own Performance: An Experimental Study* Jeremy Clark, Lana Friesen Pages: 252−276 Trust and Truth* Tore Ellingsen, Magnus Johannesson, Jannie Lilja, Henrik Zetterqvist Pages: 277−297 Optimal Privatisation Using Qualifying Auctions* Jan Boone, Jacob K. Goeree Pages: 298−307 Monopolistic Competition, Growth and Public Good Provision* Paul Pecorino http://www3.interscience.wiley.com/journal/121558231/issue Fri, 19 Dec 2008 14:53:29 +0100 American Economic Review Vol. 98, Issue 5 December 2008 Front Matter (pp: i− i) Articles Land and Power: Theory and Evidence from Chile (pp: 1737− 65) Jean−Marie Baland and James A. Robinson The Costs of Remoteness: Evidence from German Division and Reunification (pp: 1766− 97) Stephen J. Redding and Daniel M. Sturm The Response of Household Saving to the Large Shock of German Reunification (pp: 1798− 1828) Nicola Fuchs−Schundeln The Demand for, and Impact of, Learning HIV Status (pp: 1829− 63) Rebecca L. Thornton Does Job Corps Work? Impact Findings from the National Job Corps Study (pp: 1864− 86) Peter Z. Schochet, John Burghardt and Sheena McConnell Consumption Inequality and Partial Insurance (pp: 1887− 1921) Richard Blundell, Luigi Pistaferri and Ian Preston Liquidity and Insurance for the Unemployed (pp: 1922− 42) Robert Shimer and Ivan Werning Zombie Lending and Depressed Restructuring in Japan (pp: 1943− 77) Ricardo J. Caballero, Takeo Hoshi and Anil K. Kashyap Trading Tasks: A Simple Theory of Offshoring (pp: 1978− 97) Gene M. Grossman and Esteban Rossi−Hansberg Pricing−to−Market, Trade Costs, and International Relative Prices (pp: 1998− 2031) Andrew Atkeson and Ariel Burstein Optimal Tariffs and Market Power: The Evidence (pp: 2032− 65) Christian Broda, Nuno Limao and David E. Weinstein Stocks as Lotteries: The Implications of Probability Weighting for Security Prices (pp: 2066− 2100) Nicholas Barberis and Ming Huang Trend Inflation, Indexation, and Inflation Persistence in the New Keynesian Phillips Curve (pp: 2101− 26) Timothy Cogley and Argia M. Sbordone Contextual Inference in Markets: On the Informational Content of Product Lines (pp: 2127− 49) Emir Kamenica Shorter Papers Conversations among Competitors (pp: 2150− 62) Jeremy C. Stein The Effect of Credit Constraints on the College Drop−Out Decision: A Direct Approach Using a New Panel Study (pp: 2163− 84) Ralph Stinebrickner and Todd Stinebrickner On the Salience of Ethnic Conflict (pp: 2185− 2202) Joan Esteban and Debraj Ray How Do Budget Deficits and Economic Growth Affect Reelection Prospects? Evidence from a Large Panel of Countries (pp: 2203− 20) Adi Brender and Allan Drazen Changes in the Consumption, Income, and Well−Being of Single Mother Headed Families (pp: 2221− 41) Bruce D. Meyer and James X. Sullivan The Impact of Nearly Universal Insurance Coverage on Health Care Utilization: Evidence from Medicare (pp: 2242− 58) David Card, Carlos Dobkin and Nicole Maestas Can Hepatitis B Mothers Account for the Number of Missing Women? Evidence from Three Million Newborns in Taiwan (pp: 2259− 73) Ming−Jen Lin and Ming−Ching Luoh http://www.aeaweb.org/issue.php?journal=AER&volume=98&issue=5&mode=Single Fri, 19 Dec 2008 14:53:29 +0100 Technovation Volume 29, Issue 1, Pages 1−76 (January 2009) 1. Editorial Board Page IFC 2. Reviewing: The unsung heroes of excellent journals and publications Pages 1−4 Jonathan D. Linton 3. Changes in the technology spillover structure due to economic paradigm shifts: A driver of the economic revival in Japan's material industry beyond the year 2000 Pages 5−22 Masahiro Nakagawa, Chihiro Watanabe, Charla Griffy−Brown 4. The development of technology infrastructure in Portugal and the need to pull innovation using proactive intermediation policies Pages 23−34 Manuel Laranja 5. Opportunity, embeddedness, endogenous resources, and performance of technology ventures in Taiwan's incubation centers Pages 35−44 Yan−Ru Li, Yiche Chen 6. Does technology management research diverge or converge in developing and developed countries? Pages 45−58 D. Cetindamar, S.N. Wasti, H. Ansal, B. Beyhan 7. Do different types of innovation rely on specific kinds of knowledge interactions? Pages 59−71 Franz Tödtling, Patrick Lehner, Alexander Kaufmann 8. Innovation Networks and Knowledge Clusters. Findings and Insights from the US, EU and Japan, Carayannis, E., Assimakopoulos, D., Kondo, M. Palgrave MacMillan Publishers, New York, NY, USA (2008). 224pp., price $80.00 (hardcover), hardback, ISBN:1−4039−4245−5. Pages 72−73 Elisa Giuliani 9. S. Shane (Ed.). Economic Development Through Entrepreneurship: Government, University, and Business Linkages. Edward Elgar Pub., Cheltenham (2006). 252pp., Price: £59.95, ISBN: 1−84376−855−0. Pages 74−75 Jean−François Auger http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/journal/01664972 Fri, 19 Dec 2008 14:53:29 +0100 Employment Laws in Developing Countries Simeon Djankov Rita Ramalho DE DP7097 PDF Monetary Policy Regimes and the Term Structure of Interest Rates Ruslan Bikbov Mikhail Chernov FE DP7096 PDF Does the Public Employment Service Affect Search Effort and Outcomes? Denis Fougère Jacqueline Pradel Muriel Roger LE DP7095 PDF Estimating the Effect of a Retraining Program on the Re−Employment Rate of Displaced Workers Sandra Cavaco Denis Fougère Julien Pouget LE DP7094 PDF Debt Maturity without Commitment Dirk Niepelt IM PP DP7093 PDF www.cepr.org/DP7093 Naturalization and Employment of Immigrants in France (1968−1999) Denis Fougère Mirna Safi LE DP7092 PDF Financial Market Integration Under EMU Tullio Jappelli Marco Pagano FE DP7091 PDF Venture Capital and Innovation: Which is First? Masayuki Hirukawa Masako Ueda FE DP7090 PDF Venture Capital and Industrial ''Innovation'' Masayuki Hirukawa Masako Ueda FE DP7089 PDF Charitable Giving for Overseas Development: UK Trends Over a Quarter Century Tony Atkinson Peter G. Backus John Micklewright Cathy Pharoah Sylke Viola Schnepf LE DP7087 PDF One Size Fits All? The Effects of Teacher Cognitive and Non−Cognitive Abilities on Student Achievement Erik Grönqvist Jonas Vlachos LE PP DP7086 PDF What Happens During Recessions, Crunches and Busts? Stijn Claessens Ayhan Kose Marco E. Terrones FE DP7085 PDF When Can Central Banks Anchor Expectations? Policy communication and controllability Nicola Acocella Giovanni Di Bartolomeo Andrew Hughes Hallett IM DP7078 http://www.cepr.org/pubs/eDPs/this_week.htm Fri, 19 Dec 2008 14:53:29 +0100 Econometrica Volume 77, Issue 1, 2009. −−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−− Pages: i−ii Front Matter Pages: 1−28 On Forward Induction Srihari Govindan, Robert Wilson Pages: 29−69 Public vs. Private Offers in the Market for Lemons Johannes Hörner, Nicolas Vieille Pages: 71−92 All−Pay Contests Ron Siegel Pages: 93−105 The Complexity of Forecast Testing Lance Fortnow, Rakesh V. Vohra Pages: 107−133 Decision Theory Applied to a Linear Panel Data Model Gary Chamberlain, Marcelo J. Moreira Pages: 135−175 Nonparametric Identification of Finite Mixture Models of Dynamic Discrete Choices Hiroyuki Kasahara, Katsumi Shimotsu Pages: 177−234 Long−Term Risk: An Operator Approach Lars Peter Hansen, José A. Scheinkman Pages: 235−247 Virtual Determinacy in Overlapping Generations Models Jonathan L. Burke Pages: 249−278 Two New Conditions Supporting the First−Order Approach to Multisignal Principal–Agent Problems John R. Conlon Pages: 279−281 Ancillary Statistics in Principal–Agent Models Bernard Sinclair−Desgagné Pages: 283−306 Bootstrapping Realized Volatility Sílvia Gonçalves, Nour Meddahi Pages: 307−316 Characterization of Revenue Equivalence Birgit Heydenreich, Rudolf Müller, Marc Uetz, Rakesh V. Vohra Pages: 317−318 Corrigendum to "Existence and Uniqueness of Solutions to the Bellman Equation in the Unbounded Case" Econometrica, Vol. 71, No. 5 (September, 2003), 1519–1555 Juan Pablo Rincón−Zapatero, Carlos Rodríguez−Palmero http://www3.interscience.wiley.com/journal/121567754/issue Fri, 19 Dec 2008 14:53:29 +0100 National Bureau of Economic Research Week of December 15, 2008 −−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−− 1. Credit Constraints, Heterogeneous Firms, and International Trade by Kalina Manova #14531 (ITI) 2. Estimating the Effect of Student Aid on College Enrollment: Evidence from a Government Grant Policy Reform by Helena Skyt Nielsen, Torben Sørensen, Christopher R. Taber #14535 (ED LS PE) 3. Financial Literacy, Information, and Demand Elasticity: Survey and Experimental Evidence from Mexico by Justine S. Hastings, Lydia Tejeda−Ashton #14538 (AG IO PE) 4. Mispricing of S&P 500 Index Options by George M. Constantinides, Jens Carsten Jackwerth , Stylianos Perrakis #14544 (AP) 5. Mandates and the Affordability of Health Care by Sherry A. Glied #14545 (HC) 6. Why are Saving Rates of Urban Households in China Rising? by Marcos Chamon, Eswar Prasad #14546 (IFM) 7. Can Structural Small Open Economy Models Account for the Influence of Foreign Disturbances? by Alejandro Justiniano, Bruce Preston #14547 (EFG) 8. What is a Company Really Worth? Intangible Capital and the "Market to Book Value" Puzzle by Charles R. Hulten, Xiaohui Hao #14548 (PR) 9. Bankruptcy: Past Puzzles, Recent Reforms, and the Mortgage Crisis by Michelle J. White #14549 (LE) 10. Improving Educational Outcomes for Poor Children by Brian Jacob, Jens Ludwig #14550 (CH ED) 11. What are the Effects of Fiscal Policy Shocks? by Andrew Mountford, Harald Uhlig #14551 (EFG IFM PE) 12. An Exploration of Local R&D Spillovers in France by Jacques Mairesse, Benoit Mulkay #14552 (PR) 13. The Slow Decline of East Germany by Harald Uhlig #14553 (EFG ITI LS) 14. Task Trade between Similar Countries by Gene M. Grossman, Esteban Rossi−Hansberg #14554 (EFG ITI) 15. Great Fortunes of the Gilded Age by Hugh Rockoff #14555 (DAE) 16. A Resource Belief−Curse? Oil and Individualism by Rafael Di Tella, Juan Dubra, Robert MacCulloch #14556 (POL) 17. The Evolution of Corporate Ownership After IPO: The Impact of Investor Protection by C. Fritz Foley, Robin Greenwood #14557 (CF LE) 18. Does Openness to International Financial Flows Raise Productivity Growth? by M. Ayhan Kose, Eswar S. Prasad, Marco E. Terrones #14558 (EFG IFM PR) 19. Rebate Rules in Threshold Public Good Provision by Michael A. Spencer, Stephen K. Swallow , Jason F. Shogren, John A. List #14559 (EEE PE) 20. Did Economics Cause World War II? by Robert J. Gordon #14560 (EFG PR) 21. Inflation Targeting and Real Exchange Rates in Emerging Markets by Joshua Aizenman, Michael Hutchison, Ilan Noy #14561 (IFM ITI ME) 22. Sovereign Wealth Funds: Stylized Facts about their Determinants and Governance by Joshua Aizenman, Reuven Glick #14562 (IFM ITI ME) 23. The Supply−Shock Explanation of the Great Stagflation Revisited by Alan S. Blinder, Jeremy B. Rudd #14563 (DAE EFG) 24. Short Run Impacts of Accountability on School Quality by Jonah E. Rockoff, Lesley J. Turner #14564 (ED PE) 25. International Trade in Used Durable Goods: The Environmental Consequences of NAFTA by Lucas W. Davis, Matthew E. Kahn #14565 (EEE IO ITI) 26. The Timing of Labor Demand by Ana Rute Cardoso, Daniel S. Hamermesh, José Varejão #14566 (LS) 27. Pharmaceutical Industry, Drug Quality and Regulation: Evidence from US and Italy by Vincenzo Atella, Jay Bhattacharya, Lorenzo Carbonari #14567 (HC HE) 28. The Cost of Primary Care Doctors by Sherry A. Glied, Ashwin Prabhu, Norman H. Edelman #14568 (HC LS) 29. An Historical Perspective on the Crisis of 2007−2008 by Michael D. Bordo #14569 (ME) 30. The Effects of Housing Assistance on Labor Supply: Evidence from a Voucher Lottery by Brian A. Jacob, Jens Ludwig #14570 (CH ED LS PE) 31. Forecasting Stock Market Returns: The Sum of the Parts is More than the Whole by Miguel A. Ferreira, Pedro Santa−Clara #14571 (AP) 32. Are Health Insurance Markets Competitive? by Leemore Dafny #14572 (HC IO) 33. Season of Birth and Later Outcomes: Old Questions, New Answers by Kasey Buckles, Daniel M. Hungerman #14573 (CH) 34. Multi−market Delegated Asset Management by Zhiguo He, Wei Xiong #14574 (AP CF) 35. The NBER−Rensselaer Scientific Papers Database: Form, Nature, and Function by James D. Adams, J. Roger Clemmons #14575 (PR) http://www.nber.org/new.html#latest Fri, 19 Dec 2008 14:53:29 +0100 Capitalism and Society The Members of the Center on Capitalism and Society, Edmund Phelps (Director), Amar Bhidé, Roman Frydman, Bruce Greenwald, R. Glenn Hubbard, Janusz Ordover, Richard Nelson, Andrzej Rapaczynski, Jeffrey Sachs, Robert Shiller, and Joseph Stiglitz, are pleased to announce a special issue of the journal Capitalism and Society, relating to Phelps's contributions to economics. Macroeconomic Theory for a World of Imperfect Knowledge Roman Frydman and Michael D. Goldberg The Many Contributions of Edmund Phelps: American Economic Association Luncheon Speech Honoring the 2006 Nobel Laureate in Economics James J. Heckman Ned Phelps−The Economist: American Economic Association Luncheon Speech Honoring the 2006 Nobel Laureate in Economics Amartya Sen Edmund Phelps: American Economic Association Luncheon Speech Honoring the 2006 Nobel Laureate in Economics Joseph Stiglitz Discussions and Commentaries Commentary: Revolutionary Times, Then and Now Edmund S. Phelps http://www.bepress.com/cas Fri, 19 Dec 2008 14:53:29 +0100 Technovation Volume 28, Issue 12, Pages 799−864 (December 2008) 1. Editorial Board Page IFC Refereed papers 2. Why big science has trouble finding big money and small science has difficulties finding small money Pages 799−801 Jonathan D. Linton 3. A biomedical military–industrial complex? Pages 802−811 Judith Reppy 4. On heuristics, narrative and knowledge management Pages 812−817 Robert S. Friedman and Laurence Prusak 5. Chinese vs. European views regarding technology assessment: Convergent or divergent? Pages 818−830 Dominique R. Jolly 6. Upstart startup: “Constructed advantage” and the example of Qualcomm Pages 831−837 Sanford Lakoff 7. Measuring innovation best practices: Improvement of an innovation index integrating threshold and synergy effects Pages 838−854 Helmi Ben Rejeb, Laure Morel−Guimarães, Vincent Boly and N’Doli Guillaume Assiélou 8. The effect of TQM on performance in R&D environments: A perspective from South Korean firms Pages 855−863 Daniel I. Prajogo and Soon W. Hong Erratum 9. Erratum to “Implementation of enterprise resource planning in China” [Technovation 26 (2006) 1324–1336] Page 864 Yahaya Yusuf, Angappa Gunasekaran and Canglin Wu http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/journal/01664972 Fri, 21 Nov 2008 15:16:44 +0100 1. Sectoral Innovation Systems, Corporate Strategies, and Competitiveness of the German Economy in a Globalised World Michael Rothgang 2. Complementary Patents and Market Structure Klaus M. Schmidt; 3. On the Price Elasticity of Demand for Patents Gaetan de Rassenfosse; Bruno van Pottelsberghe de la Potterie 4. Searching for Innovations ? The Technological Determinants of Acquisitions in the Pharmaceutical Industry Gautier Duflos; Etienne Pfister 5. User Innovation in SMEs: Incidence and Transfer to Producers Jeroen de Jong; Eric von Hippel 6. Brain drain, R&D−cost differentials and the innovation gap Fabio Mariani 7. The Effect of R&D Subsidies on Private R&D: Evidence from Italian Manufacturing Data Oliviero A. Carboni 8. International Competition and U.S. R&D Subsidies: A Quantitative Welfare Analysis Giammario Impullitti 9. Does social capital reinforce technological inputs in the creation of knowledge? Evidence from the Spanish regions. Ernest Miguélez; Rosina Moreno; Manuel Artís 10. The London Agreement and the Cost of Patenting in Europe Malwina Mejer; Bruno van Pottelsberghe de la Potterie 11. Licensing Uncertain Patents: Per−Unit Royalty vs Up−Front Fee David Encaoua; Yassine Lefouili 12. Bigger is better: Market size, demand elasticity and innovation Klaus Desmet; Stephen L. Parente 13. Intermediation, reciprocity and compatibility in regional innovation systems − an interregional comparison Uwe Cantner; Andreas Meder; Tina Wolf 14. An Evolutionary Approach to Regional Systems of Innovation Jan Gunnarsson; Torsten Wallin 15. Does Technology Spill Over across National Borders and Technology Regimes? J.W.B. Bos; C. Economidou; B. Candelon http://www.repec.org Fri, 21 Nov 2008 15:16:44 +0100 Scandinavian Journal of Statistics Volume 35, Issue 4, 2008. −−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−− Pages: 577−596 Simplex Mixed−Effects Models for Longitudinal Proportional Data ZHENGUO QIU, PETER X.−K. SONG, MING TAN Pages: 597−612 On a Unified Generalized Quasi–likelihood Approach for Familial–Longitudinal Non−Stationary Count Data BRAJENDRA C. SUTRADHAR, VANDNA JOWAHEER, GARY SNEDDON Pages: 613−628 Non−parametric Maximum Likelihood Estimation for Cox Regression with Subject−Specific Measurement Error C. Y. WANG Pages: 629−649 Focused Information Criterion for Capture–Recapture Models for Closed Populations FRANCESCO BARTOLUCCI, MONIA LUPPARELLI Pages: 650−663 Estimating the Basic Reproductive Number in the General Epidemic Model with an Unknown Initial Number of Susceptible Individuals ERIC H. Y. LAU, PAUL S. F. YIP Pages: 664−676 Building and Fitting Non−Gaussian Latent Variable Models via the Moment−Generating Function TORE SELLAND KLEPPE, HANS J. SKAUG Pages: 677−690 Adaptive Proposal Construction for Reversible Jump MCMC RICARDO S. EHLERS, STEPHEN P. BROOKS Pages: 691−700 On the Second−Order Random Walk Model for Irregular Locations FINN LINDGREN, HÅVARD RUE Pages: 701−718 Semi−Parametric Models for the Multivariate Tail Dependence Function – the Asymptotically Dependent Case CLAUDIA KLÜPPELBERG, GABRIEL KUHN, LIANG PENG Pages: 719−738 Non−parametric Regression Tests Using Dimension Reduction Techniques BERTHOLD R. HAAG Pages: 739−761 Uniform in Bandwidth Estimation of Integral Functionals of the Density Function EVARIST GINÉ, DAVID M. MASON Pages: 762−762 Correction Note to ''Density Approximation by Summary Statistics: An Information−theoretic Approach'' ZVI GILULA, SHELBY J. HABERMAN Fri, 21 Nov 2008 15:16:44 +0100 Economics Letters Volume 101, Issue 3, Pages 153−306 (December 2008) 1. Editorial Board Page IFC 2. Extra! Extra! Some positive technology shocks are expansionary! Pages 153−156 Michelle Alexopoulos 3. Trade openness and government size Pages 157−159 Michael Benarroch and Manish Pandey 4. Why are people more pro−trade than pro−migration? Pages 160−163 Anna Maria Mayda 5. The price of terror: The effects of terrorism on stock market returns and volatility Pages 164−167 K. Peren Arin, Davide Ciferri and Nicola Spagnolo 6. Obtaining analytic derivatives for a popular discrete−choice dynamic programming model Pages 168−171 Curtis Eberwein and John C. Ham 7. Winner’s curse in toll road concessions Pages 172−174 Laure Athias and Antonio Nuñez 8. Conditional cooperation on three continents Pages 175−178 Martin G. Kocher, Todd Cherry, Stephan Kroll, Robert J. Netzer and Matthias Sutter 9. Delegated contracting, information, and internal control Pages 179−183 Wolfgang Gick 10. On the persistence of the Eonia spread Pages 184−187 Uwe Hassler and Dieter Nautz 11. Testing for unit roots in three−dimensional heterogeneous panels in the presence of cross−sectional dependence Pages 188−192 Monica Giulietti, Jesús Otero and Jeremy Smith 12. What Fisher knew about his relation, we sometimes forget Pages 193−195 Neil Arnwine and Taner M. Yigit 13. Monetary politics in a monetary union: A note on common agency with rational expectations Pages 196−198 Michele Ruta 14. An updated assessment of the Lucas supply curve and the inflation–output trade−off Pages 199−201 Brant Abbott and Cristina Martínez 15. What determines the output drop after an energy price increase: Household or firm energy share? Pages 202−205 Rajeev Dhawan and Karsten Jeske 16. How do different entitlements to unemployment benefits affect the transitions from unemployment into employment? Pages 206−209 John T. Addison and Pedro Portugal 17. Panel AR(1) estimators under misspecification Pages 210−213 Ryo Okui 18. Private versus complete information in auctions Pages 214−216 Florian Morath and Johannes Münster 19. Duopoly can be more anti−competitive than monopoly Pages 217−219 Kenji Fujiwara 20. The effect of temporary contracts on job security of permanent workers Pages 220−222 Franciscos Koutentakis 21. Temporal aggregation, cointegration and causality inference Pages 223−226 Gulasekaran Rajaguru and Tilak Abeysinghe 22. Advertising as a signaling device: Simulated maximum likelihood estimation of a multiple random effects count data model Pages 227−229 Jörgen Hellström and Niklas Rudholm 23. Initial conditions and the outcome of economic reform Pages 230−233 Linda Kaltani and Norman V. Loayza 24. Acceleration effect of uncertainty on technological diffusion Pages 234−236 Koki Oikawa 25. Cournot and Bertrand–Edgeworth competition when rivals' costs are unknown Pages 237−240 Jason J. Lepore 26. A note on optimal paternalism and health capital subsidies Pages 241−242 Thomas Aronsson and Linda Thunström 27. Applicant behaviour in patent examination request lags Pages 243−245 Alfons Palangkaraya, Paul H. Jensen and Elizabeth Webster 28. Are cash transfers made to women spent like other sources of income? Pages 246−248 Norbert Schady and José Rosero 29. Bargaining with many players: A limit result Pages 249−252 Klaus Kultti and Hannu Vartiainen 30. Double−Length Regression tests for testing functional forms and spatial error dependence Pages 253−257 Canh Quang Le and Dong Li 31. A vector integer−valued moving average model for high frequency financial count data Pages 258−261 A.M.M. Shahiduzzaman Quoreshi 32. Vertical mergers and downstream spatial competition with different product varieties Pages 262−264 Hamid Beladi, Avik Chakrabarti and Sugata Marjit 33. Optimal interest rate policy during asset price booms: The mirage of ‘benign neglect’ Pages 265−267 Wolfram Berger and Friedrich Kiβmer 34. Information gathering and the hold−up problem in a complete contracting framework Pages 268−271 Patrick W. Schmitz 35. Does classical competition explain the statistical features of firm growth? Pages 272−274 Simone Alfarano and Mishael Milaković 36. Stochastic dominance representation of optimistic belief: Theory and applications Pages 275−278 Yusuke Osaki and John Quiggin 37. Unit root testing for bubbles: A resurrection? Pages 279−281 George A. Waters 38. A spatial Hausman test Pages 282−284 R. Kelley Pace and James P. LeSage 39. Detecting invalid instruments using L1−GMM Pages 285−287 Chirok Han 40. Testing against nonstationary volatility in time series Pages 288−292 Ke−Li Xu 41. What makes a homegrown terrorist? Human capital and participation in domestic Islamic terrorist groups in the U.S.A. Pages 293−296 Alan B. Krueger 42. Time−series output convergence tests and stationary covariates Pages 297−299 Dimitris K. Christopoulos and Miguel A. León−Ledesma http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/journal/01651765 Fri, 21 Nov 2008 15:16:44 +0100 Repeated electoral competition over non−linear income tax schedules Georges Casamatta Helmuth Cremer Philippe De Donder PP DP7054 PDF The Structure of Protection and Growth in the Late 19th Century Sibylle H. Lehmann Kevin H O'Rourke IM IT DP7053 PDF Additions to Market Indices and the Comovement of Stock Returns around the World Stijn Claessens Yishay Yafeh FE DP7052 PDF Bank Diversification and Incentives Gyöngyi Lóránth Alan Morrison FE DP7051 PDF Storable Votes and Agenda Order Control. Theory and Experiments Alessandra Casella PP DP7050 PDF Labour Markets in EMU − What has Changed and What Needs to Change Giuseppe Bertola IM LE DP7049 PDF Openness, Financial Markets, and Policies: Cross−Country and Dynamic Patterns Giuseppe Bertola Anna Lo Prete IM DP7048 PDF International Taxation and Multinational Firm Location Decisions Salvador Barrios Harry Huizinga Luc Laeven Gaetan Nicodeme PP DP7047 PDF Fundamentals at Odds? The US Current Account Deficit and The Dollar Gian Maria Milesi−Ferretti IM Luddites and the Demographic Transition Kevin H O'Rourke Ahmed Rahman Alan M Taylor IM DP7045 PDF Fiscal Sustainability and Demographics − Should We Save or Work More? Torben M Andersen IM DP7044 Peer Effects and the Impact of Tracking: Evidence from a Randomized Evaluation in Kenya Esther Duflo Pascaline Dupas Michael Kremer DE DP7043 PDF Ethnic Parity in Labour Market Outcomes for Benefit Claimants Claire Crawford Lorraine Dearden Alice Mesnard Jonathan Shaw Barbara Sianesi PP DP7042 PDF Globalization and Business Cycle Transmission Michael J Artis Toshihiro Okubo IM DP7041 PDF Are Boys and Girls Affected Differently When the Household Head Leaves for Good? Evidence from School and Work Choices in Colombia Emla Fitzsimons Alice Mesnard DE DP7040 PDF http://www.cepr.org/pubs/eDPs/this_week.htm Fri, 21 Nov 2008 15:16:44 +0100 Journal of Econometrics Volume 147, Issue 2, Pages 207−396 (December 2008) Estimating demand systems and measuring consumer preferences Edited by Daniel Slottje 1. Editorial Board Page IFC 2. Estimating demand systems and measuring consumer preferences Pages 207−209 Daniel Slottje 3. Consumer preferences and demand systems Pages 210−224 William A. Barnett, Apostolos Serletis 4. Chamberlin’s strategy of multiple working hypotheses and a relative frequency theory of market demand Pages 225−231 R.L. Basmann 5. A Bayesian mixed logit–probit model for multinomial choice Pages 232−246 Martin Burda, Matthew Harding, Jerry Hausman 6. Demand and supply estimation biases due to omission of durability Pages 247−257 Jiawei Chen, Susanna Esteban, Matthew Shum 7. Nonparametric tests of collectively rational consumption behavior: An integer programming procedure Pages 258−265 Laurens Cherchye, Bram De Rock, Jeroen Sabbe, Frederic Vermeulen 8. Estimating demand with distance functions: Parameterization in the primal and dual Pages 266−274 Rolf Färe, Shawna Grosskopf, Kathy J. Hayes, Dimitris Margaritis 9. A nonparametric test of weak separability and consumer preferences Pages 275−281 Adrian R. Fleissig, Gerald A. Whitney 10. Estimating demand systems when outcomes are correlated counts Pages 282−298 Joseph A. Herriges, Daniel J. Phaneuf, Justin L. Tobias 11. Inferential methods for elasticity estimates Pages 299−315 J.G. Hirschberg, J.N. Lye, D.J. Slottje 12. Increasing the price variation in a repeated cross section Pages 316−325 Stefan Hoderlein, Sonya Mihaleva 13. Consumption and labor supply Pages 326−335 Dale W. Jorgenson, Daniel T. Slesnick 14. The structure of US food demand Pages 336−349 Jeffrey T. LaFrance 15. Estimation of collective household models with Engel curves Pages 350−358 Arthur Lewbel, Krishna Pendakur 16. A neural network demand system with heteroskedastic errors Pages 359−371 Michael McAleer, Marcelo C. Medeiros, Daniel Slottje 17. An alternative approach to estimating demand: Neural network regression with conditional volatility for high frequency air passenger arrivals Pages 372−383 Marcelo C. Medeiros, Michael McAleer, Daniel Slottje, Vicente Ramos, Javier Rey−Maquieira 18. Estimating high−dimensional demand systems in the presence of many binding non−negativity constraints Pages 384−395 Daniel L. Millimet, Rusty Tchernis http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/journal/03044076 Fri, 21 Nov 2008 15:16:44 +0100 National Bureau of Economic Research Week of November 17, 2008 −−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−− 1. Carry Trades and Currency Crashes by Markus K. Brunnermeier, Stefan Nagel, Lasse H. Pedersen #14473 (AP EFG IFM ME) http://papers.nber.org/papers/W14473 2. Peer Effects and the Impact of Tracking: Evidence from a Randomized Evaluation in Kenya by Esther Duflo, Pascaline Dupas, Michael Kremer #14475 (CH ED) http://papers.nber.org/papers/W14475 3. Why the European Securities Market is Not Fully Integrated by Alberto Giovannini #14476 (IFM) http://papers.nber.org/papers/W14476 4. Outsourcing when Investments are Specific and Complementary by Alla Lileeva, Johannes Van Biesebroeck #14477 (IO PR) http://papers.nber.org/papers/W14477 5. Inequality and Unemployment in a Global Economy by Elhanan Helpman, Oleg Itskhoki, Stephen Redding #14478 (ITI) http://papers.nber.org/papers/W14478 6. The Euro and Structural Reforms by Alberto Alesina, Silvia Ardagna, Vincenzo Galasso #14479 (POL) http://papers.nber.org/papers/W14479 7. Self−Enforcing Stochastic Monitoring and the Separation of Debt and Equity Claims by Harold L. Cole #14480 (EFG) http://papers.nber.org/papers/W14480 8. Globalization and innovation in emerging markets by Yuriy Gorodnichenko, Jan Svejnar, Katherine Terrell #14481 ( ITI PR) http://papers.nber.org/papers/W14481 9. Child Health and Young Adult Outcomes by Janet Currie, Mark Stabile, Phongsack Manivong, Leslie L. Roos #14482 (CH HC HE LS PE) http://papers.nber.org/papers/W14482 10. Reality versus Propaganda in the Formation of Beliefs about Privatization by Rafael Di Tella, Sebastian Galiani, Ernesto Schargrodsky #14483 (POL) http://papers.nber.org/papers/W14483 11. Luddites and the Demographic Transition by Kevin H. O'Rourke, Ahmed S. Rahman, Alan M. Taylor #14484 (DAE) http://papers.nber.org/papers/W14484 12. Can You Recognize an Effective Teacher When You Recruit One? by Jonah E. Rockoff, Brian A. Jacob, Thomas J. Kane, Douglas O. Staiger #14485 (ED) http://papers.nber.org/papers/W14485 13. The Role of Boards of Directors in Corporate Governance: A Conceptual Framework and Survey by Renée Adams, Benjamin E. Hermalin, Michael S. Weisbach #14486 (CF) http://papers.nber.org/papers/W14486 14. Storable Votes and Agenda Order Control. Theory and Experiments by Alessandra Casella #14487 (PE POL) http://papers.nber.org/papers/W14487 15. Capital Structure and Debt Structure by Joshua D. Rauh, Amir Sufi #14488 (CF) http://papers.nber.org/papers/W14488 16. How Central Bankers See It: The First Decade of ECB Policy and Beyond by Stephen G. Cecchetti, Kermit L. Schoenholtz #14489 (ME) http://papers.nber.org/papers/W14489 17. The Economic Consequences of the International Migration of Labor by Gordon H. Hanson #14490 (ITI LS) http://papers.nber.org/papers/W14490 18. The Flattening Firm and Product Market Competition: The Effect of Trade Liberalization by Maria Guadalupe, Julie Wulf #14491 (IO ITI LS) http://papers.nber.org/papers/W14491 19. Understanding Crude Oil Prices by James D. Hamilton #14492 (EEE) http://papers.nber.org/papers/W14492 http://www.nber.org/new.html#latest Fri, 21 Nov 2008 15:16:44 +0100 World Development Volume 36, Issue 12, Pages 2527−2972 (December 2008) Special Section: Social Movements and the Dynamics of Rural Development in Latin America (pp. 2874−2952) Edited by Anthony Bebbington, Ricardo Abramovay and Manuel Chiriboga 1. Editorial Advisory Board Page iii 2. A Human Development Index by Income Groups Pages 2527−2546 Michael Grimm, Kenneth Harttgen, Stephan Klasen, Mark Misselhorn 3. Proposal for a Contingency Debt Sustainability Framework Pages 2547−2565 Benno Ferrarini 4. Giving and Receiving Foreign Aid: Does Conflict Count? Pages 2566−2585 Eliana Balla, Gina Yannitell Reinhardt 5. Liberalizing Autocracies in the Gulf Region? Reform Strategies in the Face of a Cultural−Economic Syndrome Pages 2586−2604 Brigitte Weiffen 6. An Impact Analysis of Microfinance in Bosnia and Herzegovina Pages 2605−2619 Valentina Hartarska, Denis Nadolnyak 7. The Impact of Lending to Women on Household Vulnerability and Women’s Empowerment: Evidence from India Pages 2620−2642 Supriya Garikipati 8. Water Rich, Resource Poor: Intersections of Gender, Poverty, and Vulnerability in Newly Irrigated Areas of Southeastern Turkey Pages 2643−2662 Leila M. Harris 9. Using Irrigation Insurance to Improve Water Usage of the Rio Mayo Irrigation System in Northwestern Mexico Pages 2663−2678 Akssell J. Leiva, Jerry R. Skees 10. Chile: The Unbearable Burden of Inequality Pages 2679−2695 Ramón López, Sebastian J. Miller 11. The Limits of Pension Privatization: Lessons from Argentine Experience Pages 2696−2712 Camila Arza 12. Few Opportunities, Much Desperation: The Dichotomy of Non−Agricultural Activities and Inequality in Western Kenya Pages 2713−2732 Jann Lay, Toman Omar Mahmoud, George Michuki M’Mukaria 13. The Financial Performance of Non−farm Microenterprises in Ghana Pages 2733−2762 Oliver Masakure, John Cranfield, Spencer Henson 14. Management of Natural Resources at the Community Level: Exploring the Role of Social Capital and Leadership in a Rural Fishing Community Pages 2763−2779 Örjan Bodin, Beatrice I. Crona 15. Are We Getting There? Evidence of Decentralized Forest Management from the Tanzanian Miombo Woodlands Pages 2780−2800 Jens Friis Lund, Thorsten Treue 16. Modeling Energy and Development: An Evaluation of Models and Concepts Pages 2801−2821 Bas van Ruijven, Frauke Urban, René M.J. Benders, Henri C. Moll, Jeroen P. van der Sluijs, Bert de Vries, Detlef P. van Vuuren 17. Trade Protection and Capital Imports in the Mexican Manufacturing Sector Pages 2822−2837 Vasilios D. Kosteas 18. Intra− and Inter−industry Externalities from Foreign Direct Investment in the Mexican Manufacturing Sector: New Evidence from Mexican Regions Pages 2838−2854 Jacob A. Jordaan 19. The Cross−industry Spillover of Technological Capability: Korea’s DRAM and TFT–LCD Industries Pages 2855−2873 Tae−Young Park, Jae−Yong Choung, Hong−Ghi Min Special Section: Social Movemements and the Dynamics of Rural Development in Latin America 20. Social Movements and the Dynamics of Rural Territorial Development in Latin America Pages 2874−2887 Anthony Bebbington, Ricardo Abramovay, Manuel Chiriboga 21. Mining and Social Movements: Struggles Over Livelihood and Rural Territorial Development in the Andes Pages 2888−2905 Anthony Bebbington, Denise Humphreys Bebbington, Jeffrey Bury, Jeannet Lingan, Juan Pablo Muñoz, Martin Scurrah 22. Social Movements Beyond the Iron Cage: Weak Ties in Territorial Development Pages 2906−2920 Ricardo Abramovay, Reginaldo Magalhães, Mônica Schröder 23. Neo−Corporatism and Territorial Economic Development: The Ecuadorian Indigenous Movement in Local Government Pages 2921−2936 Pablo Ospina Peralta, Alejandra Santillana Ortiz, María Arboleda 24. Questioning the Relationship between Participation and Development: A case study of the Vale do Ribeira, Brazil Pages 2937−2952 Vera Schattan P. Coelho, Arilson Favareto Comment 25. “Fighting the Tide: Alternative Trade Organizations in the Era of Global Free Trade”—A Comment Pages 2953−2961 M.G. Hayes Reply 26. “Fighting the Tide: Alternative Trade Organizations in the Era of Global Free Trade”—A Reply Pages 2962−2965 Mark S. LeClair Corrigenda 27. Corrigendum to “Poverty Risks and National Parks: Policy Issues in Conservation and Resettlement” [World Development 34 (2006) 1808–1830] Page 2966 Michael M. Cernea, Kai Schmidt−Soltau 28. Corrigendum to “‘Achieving Child−Health−Related Millennium Development Goals: The Role of Infrastructure’—A Reply” [World Development 35 (2007) 929–930] Page 2967 Marianne Fay, Danny Leipziger, Quentin Wodon, Tito Yepes 29. Acknowledgements Pages 2968−2971 http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/journal/0305750X Fri, 21 Nov 2008 15:16:44 +0100 National Bureau of Economic Research Week of October 13, 2008 −−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−− 1. Social Capital and Urban Growth by Edward L. Glaeser, Charles Redlick #14374 (PE) http://papers.nber.org/papers/W14374 2. Inflation−Output Tradeoff as Equilibrium Outcome of Globalization by Alon Binyamini, Assaf Razin #14379 (IFM) http://papers.nber.org/papers/W14379 3. Stabilizing Expectations under Monetary and Fiscal Policy Coordination by Stefano Eusepi, Bruce Preston #14391 (EFG ME) http://papers.nber.org/papers/W14391 4. Temporary Price Changes and the Real Effects of Monetary Policy by Patrick J. Kehoe, Virgiliu Midrigan #14392 (EFG) http://papers.nber.org/papers/W14392 5. Estate Acts, 1600 to 1830: A New Source for British History by Dan Bogart, Gary Richardson #14393 (DAE LE POL) http://papers.nber.org/papers/W14393 6. Modern Management: Good for the Environment or just Hot Air? by Nicholas Bloom, Christos Genakos, Ralf Martin, Raffaella Sadun #14394 (EEE LS PR) http://papers.nber.org/papers/W14394 7. Sudden Stops, Sectoral Reallocations, and the Real Exchange Rate by Timothy J. Kehoe, Kim J. Ruhl #14395 (EFG) http://papers.nber.org/papers/W14395 8. Partial Prescriptions For Decisions With Partial Knowledge by Charles F. Manski #14396 (PE TWP) http://papers.nber.org/papers/W14396 9. Taxing Leisure Complements by Louis Kaplow #14397 (PE) http://papers.nber.org/papers/W14397 10. The Subprime Panic by Gary B. Gorton #14398 (AP CF EFG ME) http://papers.nber.org/papers/W14398 11. Sufficient Statistics for Welfare Analysis: A Bridge Between Structural and Reduced−Form Methods by Raj Chetty #14399 (EFG IO LS PE) http://papers.nber.org/papers/W14399 12. Market Work, Home Work and Taxes: A Cross Country Analysis by Richard Rogerson #14400 (EFG) http://papers.nber.org/papers/W14400 13. Will the TARP Succeed? Lessons From Japan by Takeo Hoshi, Anil K Kashyap #14401 (CF EFG ME) http://papers.nber.org/papers/W14401 http://www.nber.org/new.html#latest Fri, 17 Oct 2008 14:20:57 +0200 The Economic Journal Volume 118, Issue 533, 2008. −−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−− Pages: 1805−1834 Trade and Empire* Kris James Mitchener, Marc Weidenmier Pages: 1835−1865 Discrete Polarisation with an Application to the Determinants of Genocides* Jose G. Montalvo, Marta Reynal−Querol Pages: 1866−1887 Educational Standards in Private and Public Schools* Giorgio Brunello, Lorenzo Rocco Pages: 1888−1916 Innovation and Venture Capital Exits* Armin Schwienbacher Pages: 1917−1936 Global Factors and Emerging Market Spreads* Martín González−Rozada, Eduardo Levy Yeyati Pages: 1937−1970 The Yield Curve and Macroeconomic Dynamics* Peter Hördahl, Oreste Tristani, David Vestin Pages: 1971−1985 Fiscal Policy and Financial Markets* Bernardin Akitoby, Thomas Stratmann Pages: 1986−2012 Energy Prices and the Adoption of Energy−Saving Technology* Joshua Linn Pages: 2013−2046 Financing Constraints and Fixed−term Employment Contracts* Andrea Caggese, Vicente Cuñat Pages: 2047−2059 Contest Efforts in Light of Behavioural Considerations* Eyal Baharad, Shmuel Nitzan Fri, 17 Oct 2008 14:20:57 +0200 Fear of Floating and Pegging: A Simultaneous Choice Model of De Jure and De Facto Exchange Rate Regimes Jürgen von Hagen Jizhong Zhou IM DP7006 PDF Complementary Patents and Market Structure Klaus M. Schmidt IO DP7005 PDF Two to Tangle: Financial Development, Political Instability and Economic Growth in Argentina (1896−2000) Nauro F Campos Menelaos Karanasos Bin Tan PP DP7004 PDF FDI, the Brain Drain and Trade: Channels and Evidence Jaime de Melo Artjoms Ivlevs IT DP7002 PDF Inflation Targeting as the New Golden Standard Avia Spivak Nathan Sussman IM DP7001 PDF Can Deunionization Lead to International Outsourcing? Kjell Erik Lommerud Frode Meland Odd Rune Straume IT PP DP6998 http://www.cepr.org/pubs/eDPs/this_week.htm Fri, 17 Oct 2008 14:20:57 +0200 Economica Volume 75, Issue 300, 2008. −−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−−− Pages: 617−628 The Discipline of Economics* AMARTYA SEN Pages: 629−661 Dual Economies and International Total Factor Productivity Differences: Channelling the Impact from Institutions, Trade, and Geography AREENDAM CHANDA, CARL−JOHAN DALGAARD Pages: 662−682 Regulation of an Open Access Essential Facility AXEL GAUTIER, MANIPUSHPAK MITRA Pages: 683−699 Evidence on the Functional Relationship between Relative Price Variability and Inflation with Implications for Monetary Policy DAVID FIELDING, PAUL MIZEN Pages: 700−709 Moral Hazard and Background Risk in Competitive Insurance Markets JAMES A. LIGON, PAUL D. THISTLE Pages: 710−728 Does Performance Pay Increase Job Satisfaction? COLIN GREEN, JOHN S. HEYWOOD Pages: 729−748 Agriculture, Diffusion and Development: Ripple Effects of the Neolithic Revolution LOUIS PUTTERMAN Pages: 749−765 Disappearing Defendants versus Judgment−Proof Injurers GIUSEPPE DARI−MATTIACCI, BARBARA M. MANGAN Pages: 766−781 Foreign Aid, Fertility and Human Capital Accumulation LEONID V. AZARNERT Pages: 782−796 The Benefits of Being Economics Professor A (rather than Z) C. MIRJAM VAN PRAAG, BERNARD M.S. VAN PRAAG Pages: 797−798 Public Choice and the Challenges of Democracy. Edited by JOSÉ CASAS PARDO and PEDRO SCHWARTZ ALAN HAMLIN Pages: 798−799 Monetary Economics: An Integrated Approach to Credit, Money, Income, Production and Wealth. By WYNNE GODLEY and MARC LAVOIE CHARLES GOODHART Pages: 799−800 The Internationalization of Asset Ownership in Europe. Edited by HARRY HUIZINGA and LARS JONUNG THOMAS P. GEHRIG Pages: 800−801 Understanding Poverty. Edited by ABHISHEK BANERJEE, ROLAND BENABOU and DILIP MUKHERJEE MEGHNAD DESAI Pages: 801−802 Finance Capitalism and Germany's Rise to Industrial Power. By CAROLINE FOHLIN MARKUS BALTZER Pages: 803−804 The Political Economy of Reform Failure. By MATS LUNDAHL and MICHAEL WYZAN FEDERICO STURZENEGGER Pages: 804−805 The Cambridge Companion to Keynes. Edited by ROGER E. BACKHOUSE and BRADLEY W. BATEMAN G. C. HARCOURT Pages: 805−806 The Structure of post−Keynesian Economics: The Core Contributions of the Pioneers. By G. C. Harcourt WARREN YOUNG Fri, 17 Oct 2008 14:20:57 +0200